Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.173945 0.196185 0.219625 0.246117 0.275170 0.306006 0.341154
2025-05-11 0.146645 0.177030 0.210796 0.250913 0.297076 0.348332 0.409335
2025-05-18 0.127957 0.163822 0.205523 0.257183 0.319023 0.390220 0.477908
2025-05-25 0.109622 0.148256 0.195092 0.255353 0.330068 0.418870 0.531522
2025-06-01 0.095682 0.136125 0.187061 0.254870 0.341604 0.447593 0.585525
2025-06-08 0.084130 0.125548 0.179608 0.253868 0.351578 0.473992 0.636947
2025-06-15 0.076938 0.119858 0.177688 0.259349 0.369469 0.510416 0.701689
2025-06-22 0.068975 0.112160 0.172206 0.259314 0.379597 0.536735 0.753912
2025-06-29 0.062064 0.105193 0.166999 0.258976 0.388837 0.561741 0.804757
2025-07-06 0.056040 0.098887 0.162099 0.258486 0.397454 0.585797 0.854675
2025-07-13 0.051747 0.094783 0.159994 0.261652 0.411012 0.616673 0.914368
2025-07-20 0.048855 0.092596 0.160505 0.268495 0.429854 0.655179 0.985337
2025-07-27 0.044733 0.088112 0.157315 0.269815 0.441050 0.683860 1.044369
2025-08-03 0.041992 0.085684 0.157129 0.275605 0.458938 0.722459 1.118302
2025-08-10 0.039766 0.083923 0.157838 0.282718 0.478958 0.764601 1.198304
2025-08-17 0.036063 0.079122 0.153162 0.280925 0.485204 0.786759 1.250121
2025-08-24 0.032981 0.075141 0.149528 0.280503 0.493372 0.811783 1.306527
2025-08-31 0.030107 0.071241 0.145713 0.279474 0.500385 0.835103 1.360830
2025-09-07 0.028573 0.069812 0.146108 0.285433 0.518605 0.875652 1.441424
2025-09-14 0.026301 0.066646 0.143129 0.285411 0.527063 0.901441 1.500467
2025-09-21 0.024191 0.063582 0.140092 0.285054 0.534839 0.926245 1.558449
2025-09-28 0.022248 0.060657 0.137086 0.284529 0.542203 0.950467 1.615952
2025-10-05 0.020937 0.058985 0.136338 0.287956 0.556223 0.985392 1.690516